HI TRADERS

I would firstly like to send our words of comfort and support in these dark times. America, your thoughts are with all of us here at Platinum Trading Institute. The tragedy this week in Las Vegas is truly an unspeakable horror, and we wanted to send our sympathy to the victims and their families.

LEARN TO TRADE USING THE US DOLLAR INDEX

One of the reasons retail traders are unsuccessful in many of their trades is the fact that they do not pay attention to what is happening in the U.S. Dollar Index.

When trading currencies, one quickly realises that the US Dollar Index is the currency that dictates the price fluctuations in the market environment.

This week we would like to present to you with the US Dollar Index, and its importance in the FX world.

First things first:

WHAT IS THE US DOLLAR INDEX?

The US Dollar Index (USDX, DXY) is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States Dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies, often referred to as a basket of U.S. trade partners’ currencies.

The index is currently designed, maintained and published by the commodity exchange ICE Futures U.S. Inc., with the name “U.S. Dollar Index” a registered trademark.

It is a weighted geometric mean of the dollar’s value relative to other selected currencies:

Euro (EUR), 57.6% weight

Japanese Yen (JPY) 13.6% weight

Pound Sterling (GBP), 11.9% weight

Canadian Dollar (CAD), 9.1% weight

Swedish Krona (SEK), 4.2% weight

Swiss Franc (CHF) 3.6% weight

WHAT DOES IT MEAN FOR TRADERS/INVESTORS?

USDX goes up when the U.S. dollar gains “strength” (value) when compared to other currencies.

There will some who already argue this is likely to be revised in the future as Switzerland and Sweden have become a bit less important in the world scenario and countries like China and Brazil won’t have their currencies included in the Index calculation. But let’s leave that for when it happens if it happens at all.

HOW CAN WE TAKE ADVANTAGE TO TRADE THE DXY?

Once we know the DXY reflects the value of the US Dollar against a basket of currencies, we can use it as an extra confirmation before entering a trade. As an example, the EURO, which is weighted at almost 60% against the US Dollar, can be matched to the Dollar Index for confirmation of entries in the EUR/USD, if we have confluences of support and resistance between the charts of the 2 mentioned markets.

WEEKLY VIEW FOR THE DXY:

From the Daily chart above we can clearly see the DXY is in a downtrend. The long-term momentum is still Bearish for this market. We have an opportunity to join the flow here and short this market matching the resistance levels with a major pair like the EUR/USD, USD/CHF and GBP/USD.

The first option is the levels market which is the confluence of previous support becoming resistance, the 61.8% fib pull back of the swing high to low with an anticipation of a 5th touch of the descending trending line. Platinum Traders will be waiting for that pull back to complete and match these levels with levels on the mentioned currency pairs to enter their trades at the perfect prices. There are more than enough confluences in our favor on this set up.

Fundamentally the Dollar is still Bearish and this pull back is just the market pricing the FED rate hike in December. We may have here a classic example of the “buy the rumors, sell the news” trade.

We have also outlined the various major supply and demand areas on the chart which you should place alerts on.

THE US DOLLAR INDEX CHART:

From the Daily chart above we can clearly see the DXY is in a downtrend. The long-term momentum is still Bearish for this market. We have an opportunity to join the flow here and short this market matching the resistance levels with major pair like the EUR/USD, USD/CHF and GBP/USD.

The first option is the levels market which is the confluence of previous support becoming resistance, the 61.8% fib pull back of the swing high to low with an anticipation of a 5th touch of the descending trending line. Platinum Traders will be waiting for that pull back to complete and match these levels with levels on the mentioned currency pairs to enter their trades at the perfect prices. There are more than enough confluences in our favor on this set up.

Fundamentally the Dollar is still Bearish and this pull back is just the market pricing the FED rate hike in December. We may have here a classic example of the “buy the rumors, sell the news” trade.

We have also outlined the various major supply and demand areas on the chart which you should place alerts on.

How to trade the USDX:

A) Match the levels outlined on this chart with important levels in the EUR/USD, USD/CHF and GBP/USD and trade the US Dollar Index accordingly.

If you have any questions on the trade set ups, please contact the Platinum team and we will be happy to assist you.

KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS ON THE DXY:

  • 85 – Long-Term Selling level
  • 75 – Short-Term Selling Level
  • 9890 – Long-Term Selling Level – Platinum’s Premium Fib level
  • 9740 – Long-Term Selling Level
  • 9585 – Long-Term Selling Level
  • 9260 – Short-Term Buying Level
  • 9100 – Medium-Term Buying Level

THE EURO TRADE EXAMPLE:

Platinum Traders will be watching the EUR/USD and looking to match the levels of the charts below with the chart of the US Dollar Index

WEEKLY VIEW FOR EURO:

From the Daily chart below, we can see the EUR/USD has taken a small break from its uptrend momentum and it is working on a deeper correction. We may have an opportunity to join the most recent correction and short the pair on a pull back to 1.1880.

As Platinum traders, we trade the markets up and down to make money and despite this short-term momentum, we will really focus in joining the main force in this market since the beginning of 2017 and Long EUR/USD @ 1.1605 aiming for a 400 pips run back into the 1.20 levels.

The ECB has hard job is its hands. They need to taper QE and that process could push the euro even higher. The ECB cannot get a consensus among its members on when they will stop assets buying (QE) or at least reduce from the current €60 billion to €40 billion or even €20 billion a month with yet another extension of 6 to 9 months. While other Central Banks have already started to increase rates arguing that the time of free money is over and the QE programmes and stimulus have done their job, ECB needs to cut its stimulus all together before thinking of any hikes in its rates.

So far interest rates have no forecast to be raised by the ECB until QE ends and that is widely agreed by policymakers. No change in the picture of the Euro upwards move in the charts and any change is likely to send the Euro even higher, therefore, we have good reason to be Euro buyers for time being.

We have also outlined the various major supply and demand areas on the chart which you should place alerts on.

THE EUR/USD CHART

How to trade EUR/USD:

A) Long the EUR/USD @ 1.1605 or the nearest zone with a 40 pips stop loss and a target of 1.2000
B) Trade the trap range with 30 pips stop loss and aim for 50 pips

If you have any questions on the trade set ups, please contact the Platinum team and we will be happy to assist you.

KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS ON THE EUR/USD:
  • 2090 – Short-Term Selling level
  • 1880 – Medium-Term Selling Level
  • 1720 – Short-Term Buying Level
  • 1605 – Long-Term Buying Level
  • 1495 – Long-Term Buying Level – Platinum’s Premium Fib level
  • 1350 – Short-Term Buying Level
  • 1125 – Long-Term Buying Level

THE PERFECT TRADE SET UP:

Once you have understood the correlation of the DXY and the EURO in this example, all you need to do is match the levels of the 2 markets and go for the trade. A level Platinum Traders will definitely be looking forward to coming into play will be the confluence of the 0.9585 in the DXY, and the 1.1495 on the EUR/USD. This would be ideal to hold the trade for long-term profits.

If you would like to know why this would be the case, get in touch with the Platinum Team today, and we will be happy to help and explain the trade.

HOW TO BECOME A PROFITABLE TRADER.

If you are a new trader and would like to learn how to trade, then sign up today to our 2-day free Foundation to Forex Trading Course. We have just introduced this as in the last month we have had a lot of inquiries on learning how to trade the financial markets. We can get you on the successful path of becoming a Financial Trader.

Hopefully, you have enjoyed today’s article and have gained great knowledge about trading and how to trade.

The Platinum Formula

Perfect Fundamentals + Perfect Technical Analysis + Perfect Logic + Perfect Risk Management = Perfect Trade

The Platinum Way

At Platinum, we teach all individuals from different walks of life to become a full-time trader or create a secondary revenue stream by trading part-time.

Learn how to trade Forex the Institutional Way. We educate our clients to think like Institutional Traders and not like Retail Traders. Trading in the same style is not only more profitable but also far less stressful for the retail trader. We want you to make your trading decisions based on confirmed entry points and be confident with each trade that you make.

Watch Trades of the Week Videos in our video gallery. Subscribe to Platinum’s Forex Newsletter

Wishing you all the best.

Earnings Disclaimer:

The information you’ll find in this article is for educational purpose only. We make no promise or guarantee of income or earnings. Use your best judgement and perform due diligence before using the information in this article. Your success is still up to you. Nothing in this article is intended to be professional, legal, financial and/or accounting advice. Always seek competent advice from professionals in these matters. If you break the city or other local laws, we will not be held liable for any damages you incur.

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